This Tuesday report will provide some insights into life for a westerner (me) who is working for an extended period at Kyoto University in Japan but who over the years of working here has increasingly began to understand the language and local cultural traditions.
One of the ways in which neoliberal dogma altered the relationship between government and the citizens in Australia was in the way employment services were delivered. Before this dogma gained traction, the Australian government operated the – Commonwealth Employment Service (CES) – which was created in 1946 as part of the grand plan to sustain full employment and improve the material standards of living after the travails of the Great Depression and then World War 2. It was created by the – Re-establishment and Employment Act 1945 – which was “designed to help members of the forces transition back to civilian life by providing for their re-establishment in employment and civil life”. The CES was an integral aspect of this process and provided job matching services, occupational planning, vocational training and support, income support payments, and career guidance. It was a very effective service that operated over many decades after its introduction. There were spin-off services to help those with disabilities (particularly chronically injured service men and women). As neoliberalism took hold in Australia, the narrative shifted towards blaming the unemployed for their plight rather than understanding that the unemployment was due to a systemic lack of jobs being created because aggregate spending was insufficient. Parts of its operation were hived off to (grasping) private operators and eventually the whole operation was privatised in 1998. It has been downhill ever since and the problems arising from this decision by government continue to serve as a blight on the civility and decency of Australian society. The latest news, which I canvas in today’s post is just more of the same.
The Prime Minister’s Office of Japan has now released the transcript of the – Policy Speech by Prime Minister TAKAICHI Sanae to the 219th Session of the Diet (October 24, 2025). This was her first major speech after taking on the office of Prime Minister and allows us to see some detail beyond the rather general statements she had made previously about being supportive of fiscal expansion. The detail does not build much confidence.
This Tuesday report will provide some insights into life for a westerner (me) who is working for an extended period at Kyoto University in Japan but who over the years of working here has increasingly began to understand the language and local cultural traditions.
This blog post continues my exploration of the available productive resources in Japan which would allow a nominal fiscal expansion to be accommodated without adding to the inflationary pressures. People consistently point to the low official unemployment rate as a proxy for a shortage of labour in Japan. It is good that the official unemployment is consistently low and that is a good thing. But the official rate might not be a very good indicator of the degree of labour market slack, especially as Japan has endured many years of low economic growth and falling real wages. A focus on underemployment probably provides a better guide to the availability of idle labour resources. That is what I consider in today’s instalment.
I do not have much time to write today as I am moving house later this afternoon and have a few work meetings to attend before that. So the next topic might take two shorter parts. As predicted, Ms Takaichi became the first female Prime Minister for Japan on Tuesday after consolidating a coalition with the unlikely 日本維新の会 (Japan Innovation Party or Ishin for short), who are based in Osaka and is a sort-of right wing group that opposes central government in Tokyo and is a mixture: free market narratives, anti-immigration, mixed with things like government-provided free education for all. It is an unlikely coalition that only a place like Japan could conjure up. But she is now PM and the ailing LDP elite rules on, although for how long is another matter. The new PM is, as I have indicated against using monetary policy as the main macroeconomic policy tool and favours further fiscal expansion under the new heading 責任ある積極財政 (Responsible and proactive fiscal policy), which was a term given to her by my research collaborator here at Kyoto University (Prof. Fujii), who will become one of her senior advisors in the new government. The question I am toying with as we prepare for this major symposium at the Diet on November 6, 2025, is what actual scope is there for fiscal expansion when we are told that there is a drastic labour shortage. That is what I am discussing in this part of the series today.
This Tuesday report will provide some insights into life for a westerner (me) who is working for an extended period at Kyoto University in Japan but who over the years of working here has increasingly began to understand the language and local cultural traditions.
A few weeks ago I wrote this blog post – Japan – the challenges facing the new LDP leader – Part 2 (October 9, 2025) – documenting the viability of a fiscal expansion in Japan given the availability of idle labour resources, which are in short supply. I noted that the recent estimates from the Bank of Japan of the Labour Input gap were +0.47 per cent, which means the available labour force is working over their trend potential, and raise the question: How can output growth be possible with the labour capacity already well above potential? Which is what today’s discussion is about.
Last month the Australian labour market went backwards. That trend is now consolidating and the policy makers seem to be finally getting their wish – to put an increasing number of Australian workers out of work. Two years ago, the official unemployment rate was 3.5 per cent. Now it is 4.5 per cent. That is an extra 153 thousand workers who are now jobless. The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released the latest labour force data today (October 16, 2025) – Labour Force, Australia – for September 2025, which reveals that the growth in the labour force is outstripping employment growth with the consequence that unemployment has risen rather sharply in September – by 0.2 points. Underemployment also rose by 0.2 points and there are now 10.4 per cent of available labour not being used in one form or another. Meanwhile, if you ring the technocrats at the RBA they will tell you that we have adjusted close to full employment. And for that they should be sacked for incompetence in public office. It is ludicrous to talk about Australia being close to full employment. There is substantial scope for more job creation given the slack that is present.
This Tuesday report will provide some insights into life for a westerner (me) who is working for an extended period at Kyoto University in Japan but who over the years of working here has increasingly began to understand the language and local cultural traditions.