Australian Treasurer refuses to use his legislative power to rein in the rogue RBA

It has been quite the week in central banking terms in Australia. We had the Federal Greens economic justice spokesperson demanding that the Federal Treasurer use the powers he has under the Reserve Bank of Australia Act 1959 and order the RBA to lower interest rates. Then we had the Treasurer playing the ‘RBA is independent’ game, which depoliticises a major arm of economic policy, a (neoliberal) rort that ordinary people are finally starting to see through and rebel against in voting intention. Then an ABC journalist finally told his readers that the RBA was using a flawed theory (NAIRU) and was screwing mortgage holders relentlessly for no reason. Then the RBA Monetary Policy Board met yesterday and held the interest rate constant despite the US Federal Reserve lowering the US funds rate by a rather large 50 basis points last week and continued their pathetic narrative that inflation was too high and ‘sticky’. And then, today (September 25, 2024), the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released the latest – Monthly Consumer Price Index Indicator – for August 2024, which exposed the fallacy of the RBA’s narrative. The annual inflation rate is now at 2.7 per cent having dropped from 3.5 per cent in July and the current drivers have nothing to do with ‘excess demand (spending)’, which means the claims by the RBA that they have to keep a lid on spending – which really means they want unemployment to increase further – are plainly unjustifiable. As I said, quite a week in central banking. My position has been clear – the global factors that drove the inflationary pressures are resolving and that the outlook for inflation is for continued decline. This was never an ‘excess demand’ episode and there was no case for higher interest rates, even back in May 2022, when the RBA started hiking.

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