Australian labour force data – weaker and slowly deteriorating

Today’s release of the – Labour Force data – for May 2014 by the Australian Bureau of Statistics confirms, once again, how weak the labour market is. All the talk recently from the financial markets and the government about how the economy has ‘turned the corner’ and the lean times are behind us are plainly wrong. Today’s data confirms the stagnant situation that we have been witnessing for the last few years. Employment growth was negative and unable to keep up with the underlying population growth and unemployment rose modestly as a result. The participation rate fell again and held the rise in unemployment down by around 0.2 points. Workers are exiting the labour force because there are not enough job opportunities available. As a result, hidden unemployment rises as well. underemployment has risen since February by 0.2 points and the broad labour underutilisation rate (sum of underemployment and unemployment) stands at 13.5 per cent or more than 1.65 million workers. If we add the workers who have exited the labour market due to the lack of job openings then the total labour wastage will be well above 15 per cent. The other on-going disaster is the teenage labour market and that group fell further behind this month. The policy settings are wrong and the politicians are moving in the opposite direction to what is needed.

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