When anything better than outright recession is regarded as a triumph

I have very little free time today (to write my blog) but several readers have E-mailed me over night suggesting that the British National Accounts data release from the Office of National Statistics indicates that the fiscal austerity is not having as bad an effect on the British economy as I might have suggested. It is a fair question (challenge) and so I will use my limited time to respond to it while the data is fresh. The short answer is this – while the results might have surprised the so-called pundits – the underlying forward-looking message is not optimistic. The data shows that the British economy was growing (3 months ago) but that growth was slowing dramatically and the impacts of the government spending cutbacks were not being felt. All the current indicators are poor. Feeling pleased about the National Accounts data release yesterday seems to be a case of low being considered high. I suppose pleasure should always be taken from small mercies. But I suspect that pleasure will turn sour in the months ahead.

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